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Thursday, November 02, 2006

Poll: Women Want Troops Out Of Iraq


With the election rapidly approaching, candidates who favor getting American troops out of Iraq have a nearly three-to-one advantage among women voters over politicians who want to stay the course. That's the message from a major new poll of registered voters released today. And according to NCRW, the National Council for Research on Women, women voters are leading the electorate in demanding a pullout.

"This is across the board, in every section of the country, in cities and rural areas, across racial divides, American women say they're ready to vote for get-out-of-Iraq candidates against stay-in-Iraq candidates, with a three to one preference for candidates who want to get the troops out of Iraq over those who want to keep the troops there," says NCRW President Linda Basch.

"This isn't just in a few blue states," Basch adds.

"Candidates in every region will do better by calling for bringing the troops home than by advocating for staying the course. In the South-among all voters, women and men, it's a two-to-one margin for the peace candidates. Even in the West, the margin is 51 to 30. In the Northeast, the margin is three to one for bringing the troops home," Basch says.

Survey respondents were asked if they would be "more likely to vote for a candidate for Congress who favors withdrawing troops from Iraq within the next 12 months, less likely to vote for this candidate or would it not make a difference to you either way?"

Black and Hispanic women are even more united in their opposition to the war. Among black women voters, 83 percent would vote for candidates who favor withdrawal from Iraq and only nine percent would vote to stay the course, a margin of nine to one. Among Hispanic women voters, the margin is 68 to 11 or six to one.

The new poll confirms a trend reported on in a Ms. Magazine poll conducted five months ago. At that time, pollster Celinda Lake reported that 55 percent of women favored troop withdrawal. The poll released today shows 59 percent of women favoring candidates who want the troops out, compared to only 21 percent who would vote against them.

Among men, 48 percent now say they would vote for candidates who want to bring the troops home and 31 percent say they would vote against them. In the Ms. Poll five months ago, 43 percent of men favored troop withdrawal while 51 percent wanted to stay the course or increase American troop presence in Iraq.

In the NCRW poll, democratic women favored candidates who want to bring the troops home by over eight to one (78 percent to 9 percent). Independent women favored bring-the-troops-home candidates by five to one (60 percent to 12 percent). Republican women were slightly likelier to vote for stay-the-course candidates (42 percent to 35 percent).

Iraq showed up on the NCRW poll as the most important voting issue, with more than one out of five naming it first or second on an open-ended question, leading the economy, health care and education, the only other issues cited by more than one out of ten people.

"Women are shifting away from fear to hope as they view the issues. Education is clearly a more important issue than terrorism for moms in this poll," Basch says. "They want politicians to focus on education and the economy rather than on orange alerts."

Married women with kids, the so-called "security moms," are nearly three times likelier to cite education as their top priority than terrorism, accodring to poll results.

Black women are especially likely to consider education a key issue, with fully 98 percent saying it is either extremely or very important. Low income women are likelier than high income women to cite education as highly important.

A majority of both women and men want schools to include comprehensive sex education, including teaching about birth control and safe sex. By a margin of more than two to one, they would vote for a candidate who favored comprehensive sex education over a candidate who opposed it.

The NCRW poll was conducted on the telephone between Sept. 28 and Oct. 9 among a random sample of 2,097 registered voters by Opinion Research Corp. of Princeton, N.J. The margin of error is two percentage points.

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